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Oklahoma vs. Arkansas State odds, line, time: 2023 college football picks, Week 1 computer model predictions

The Arkansas State Red Wolves and No. 20 Oklahoma Sooners square off on Saturday afternoon. Oklahoma hosts the game at Memorial Stadium in Norman, and it is the third all-time meeting between the programs. The Sooners lead the all-time series by a 2-0 margin, and this matchup is also the 2023 season opener for both sides. Oklahoma went 6-7 last season, struggling to the program’s first losing season in more than 20 years, while Arkansas State also scuffled to a 3-9 overall record and a 1-7 mark in Sun Belt games.

The Sooners are 36-point favorites per the SportsLine consensus for this noon ET kickoff. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 57.5 in the latest Arkansas State vs. Oklahoma odds. Before making any Oklahoma vs. Arkansas State picks, be sure to check out the college football predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $2,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Oklahoma vs. Arkansas State and just revealed its picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model’s CFB picks. Here are several college football odds and trends for Arkansas State vs. Oklahoma:

  • Oklahoma vs. Arkansas State spread: Oklahoma -36
  • Oklahoma vs. Arkansas State over/under: 57.5 points
  • Oklahoma vs. Arkansas State money line: Oklahoma -10000, Arkansas State +1850
  • ASU: The Red Wolves were 7-5 against the spread last season
  • OKLA: The Sooners were 5-8 against the spread last season
  • Oklahoma vs. Arkansas State picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why Arkansas State can cover

The Red Wolves have struggled by their previous standards recently, going 5-19 in two seasons under coach Butch Jones, but there are positive signs in this matchup. Arkansas State led the Sun Belt with only five interceptions thrown a year ago, and the Red Wolves have a budding standout at wide receiver in Corey Rucker. Rucker has more than 1,300 career yards and 15 touchdowns and, after a one-year stop at South Carolina, he returns to Arkansas State to anchor the passing game. 

Arkansas State will also face a potentially vulnerable Oklahoma defense that ranked in the bottom three of the Big 12 in total defense (461 yards allowed per game), passing defense (261.5 yards per game), and rushing defense (189.0 yards per game) in 2022. Opponents completed more than 61% of passes against the Sooners last year, and Oklahoma was third-worst in the Big 12 with 30.0 points allowed per game. Arkansas State also has a special teams unit that projects as strong, including a top-four punting average (43.0 yards per attempt) and the No. 2 net punting average (40.0 yards per attempt) in the Sun Belt last season. See which team to pick here

Why Oklahoma can cover

While Oklahoma struggled by its lofty standards in 2022, the Sooners return a great deal of production and benefit from an influx of talent via high school recruiting and the transfer portal. On the other side, Arkansas State is just 2-9 in the last 11 games against Big 12 teams with a -200 point differential. The Red Wolves also scuffled completely last season on both sides of the ball. Arkansas State was last in the Sun Belt in total yards (314.8 per game), rushing yards (88.2 per game), yards per carry (2.8) and passing touchdowns (16). 

The Red Wolves also converted a Sun Belt-worst 29.3% of third down chances, and the defense wasn’t much better. Arkansas State allowed more than 400 yards per game and 8.3 yards per pass attempt with the fewest interceptions (six) in the conference. With the Red Wolves yielding more than 31 points per game, Oklahoma projects to be in a strong position. The Sooners scored 32.8 points per game and averaged 474 total yards per contest in 2022, and Oklahoma returns one of the top quarterbacks in the country in senior Dillon Gabriel, who was the Big 12 offensive newcomer of the year last season. See which team to pick here.

How to make Arkansas State vs. Oklahoma picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Over on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 66 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time. You can only see the model picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Oklahoma vs. Arkansas State, and which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has notched a profit of almost $2,500 on its top-rated college football spread picks, and find out. 

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